Haiyan continues to rapidly develop and threatens the Philippines with significant damage and the risk for the loss of life by Friday.
As of Wednesday morning the storm is rapidly developing towards the east of Yap and south of Guam. By the time it reaches Yap and Palau residents should be prepared for a full-fledged typhoon packing winds up to 65ts and heavy rainfall along with the risk of storm surge along the southern edge of Yap and the Northern Coastlines of Palau.
A Storm surge that could be 2-3 meters high. If you are on either of these islands do take the proper precautions ahead of this storm. Even if the storm does miss your location its better to be safe and think it could have been worst. Than not be ready and think I should have prepared for the worst. One thing about Typhoon and islands is that if it shifts a few hundred Kilometers the forecast could change drastically. At this time the center of Circulation is expected to go in between Yap and Palau Wednesday night in to Thursday Morning.
By Friday morning through afternoon as Haiyan will make landfall somewhere in Samar as a violent and dangerous Typhoon. But everyone from southern Luzon to Northern Mindanao should keep a keen eye on this system as the wind field will extend far from the center along with strong rain bands. By the time it makes landfall the forecast indicates it could be a violent Typhoon packing winds up to 230kph along with extremely heavy rainfall and a dangerous storm surge. Given how far south the storm is at this time and the intensity forecast that is in place it reminds us a lot of Typhoon Bopha last year which resulted in over 2,000 deaths.
Most of Visayas will see some sort damaging winds and potentially Typhoon Strength winds even farther inland. Residents of Cebu should be prepared for Typhoon strength winds through Friday. The city there will not receive nearly as bad as weather as the coastline of Samar. But still not a day to be venturing out and about.
Manila may also feel the brunt of this storm if it tracks north and maintains its intensity over land. Heavy rainfall along with damaging winds could be a problem for the city on Friday in to Saturday morning. The forecast is still long-range at this time and subject to change, but at this time Manila looks to receive at least Typhoon strength winds gust and heavy rainfall that could result in flooding in the city. It being a direct hit or just some rainfall from the outer bands is still uncertain and is pending on where exactly the storm will track through the coming days.
No Information has been posted on this storm by PAGASA as of writing this update.
By next weekend Vietnam could be seeing a landfall Typhoon as well. This is still long-range and for now we will concentrate on the storms impacts at and east of PH.