A increasingly active tropics today as two tropical depressions do the classic dance of the Fujiwara effect around the southern Japanese islands. These to storms are both forecasted to become a Tropical Storm within in the next 24hrs yet in the end most model consensus expect a merger of the tropical systems and one big large rotating mass of moisture to form. The intensity of these areas still need more time and analysis to accurately forecast. But the general forecast track will likely be almost stationary in the east china sea impacting everyone from the Northern Philippines to Taiwan to Okinawa.
With this forecast this storm will likely be a big rain maker for the entire area, some areas in North Western Luzon could see up to 250mm over the weekend. Okinawa will see spotty on and off showers through Wednesday. A few storms could become strong producing winds gusting over 50kts. Waves along the southern periphery of the Southern Japanese islands will kick up to 3-5 meters high by Tuesday as winds from the south gradually increase with the developing storm.
If you are unsure what the Fujiwara effect is please click here.
PAGASA has also upgraded this storm to a Tropical Depression naming it “Maring” , good news for the residents in Luzon this will move away east of the island but it will be dropping some un-needed rainfall along the north western periphery of Luzon.
Also at the start of todays video update we mention a ferry crash in the Philippines that has claimed the lives of 17 with nearly 100 still missing. Click the link here for more information on this tragic event.
Lastly Westpacwx would like to announce April Ferraez will be joining the team. She is a Meteorologist living in Okinawa and is coming on board to help us provide warnings and local forecast information to the growing US Military Population on the Westpacwx Website.