Now that SANBA is gone, here is your Tropical Weather Outlook for Monday, 18 September 2012.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK | 18 SEPTEMBER 2012
EXISTING SYSTEMS
- Invest 92W – newly formed, located at 12.7°N 146.3°E… about 150 km ESE of Guam, USA.
- JMA LPA – located at 17°N 127°E… about 490 km East of Palanan, Isabela, Philippines.
- NOAA Weak Circulation 1 – located at 21°N 132°E… about 730 km Southeast of Okinawa, Japan
- NOAA Weak Circulation 2 – located at 6°N 141°E… about 500 km Southeast of Yap Island
- Remnant Low of SANBA – located at 44°N 133°E… near Vladivostok, Russia.
- Surface Troughs – Please see map.
- Sub-Tropical Ridge (High Pressure) – Centered East of Japan.
FORECASTS
- Almost a unanimous majority of computer models have depicted a new storm to form West of Guam by the end of the week to track west towards the Philippine Sea.
- This new storm is now being forecast to form out of Invest 92W.
CURRENT ENVIRONMENT
- Invest 92W is in an area of favorable development, and current satellite imagery has shown that the system has improved convection.
OUTLOOK
No Tropical Cyclone formation is expected until the next 48-72 hours although odds are increasing that it is possible by the end of the week.
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SOURCES
Data from NWS-Guam, PAGASA, Japan Met (JMA), Thai Met (TMD), JTWC, CIMSS, NRL, NOAA CPC, PSU Met Dept.
@ManilaTC | #ClarkEligue
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