This weekend is the first weekend in over a month where no named tropical systems were brewing in the western pacific and eastern Asia. As far as organized systems go it is actually relatively quite. Contradictory to what it should be this time of year during the peak of typhoon season. ( To see when typhoon season peaks click here ) There still are areas being watched though. For starters invest 92W to the east of the Philippines has been dropped from the JTWC for an area to be closely watched, yet JMA and PAGASA is still holding this area as a LPA area and I feel out of everywhere in the western pacific it still needs close watching. But on that note I would give it a extremely low chance of development through the coming days.
At the time of this update the information below is what PAGASA is stating on the area.
At 10:00 am today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 510 km Northeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (13.9°N, 130.0°E).
The LPA and Southwest Monsoon are expected to bring light to moderate rains (1.0-5.0 mm/hr) and thunderstorms in Luzon and Visayas becoming moderate to heavy rains (5-10 mm/hr) over Panay and the provinces of Mindoro and Negros which may trigger flashfloods and landslides.
Elsewhere Monsoonal rains continue to fall across South East Asia, according to the WMO some areas have seen upwards of 104mm in the past 24hrs in Loa and over 50-60mm in numerous areas across Thailand. With the rainy season still in full swing expect this showers to persist.
As we look North a potent low is hitting eastern china today, this same storm has been bringing severe weather to the area all week. Plus in Japan specifically Tokyo a welcomed shot of rain showers set in as a surge of moisture pushed in from the western periphery of a high pressure of the Pacific. Personally this is the first time in nearly two month I felt comfortable sitting on my balcony any typing this update. The cloud cover combined with the latent heat being released from evaporation here is making things extra pleasant.
On another good news note I want to thank everyone again for attending our live chat on saturday. With the overwhelming positive response I have decided to make the live chat a weekly event. As for now we expect to run it every saturday at 03UTC, yet pending significant tropical systems developing those times may change to provide better and closer coverage.
In the future though the live chat will flow better and likely have more substance as we have now figured out how to make it more useful and practical for our readers and viewers. Hope to see a great response in the future!
If you missed the live chat here is a recording of it below.