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Article is in reverse time sequence with the newest information on top. If any of our readers have reports or information on your local area regards to this storm please relay it in the comment box below.

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<< TYPHOON “14W” TRACK SUMMARY >> - Live Update every 3 – 6 hours

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Update 17/08 1430UTC
Westernpacificweather - Here are some of the most notable rainfall accumulations so far in the light of the ongoing rampage of the storm across Southern China and Northeastern Viet Nam:

Rainfall totals ending at 0600Z/1808*:

Hanoi, Viet Nam-163 mm
Bac Long VI, Viet Nam-150 mm
Napo, Viet Nam-137 mm
Phu Lien, Viet Nam-130 mm
Nanning, China-108 mm
Oudomxay, Laos-96.99mm
Lang Son, Viet Nam-85 mm
Cao Bang, Viet Nam-70 mm
Guangnan, China-51 mm

Rainfall totals ending at 0000Z/1808*:

Dongfang, China-303.0 mm
Yaxian, China-142.9 mm
Danxian, China-133.8 mm
Xinzhou, China-112.1 mm
Beihai, China-104.4 mm
Zhanjiang, China-92.3 mm
Yangjiang, China-68.4 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulation. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 18/08 0640UTC
JMA -Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 6 hrs and is forecast to lose more intensity in the coming hours over land while drenching much of the region with torrential rains, and was located at 23.0N-104.0E, 156 nm (290 km) NNW of Hanoi, Viet Nam while slowing down NW@20 km/hr, winds can no longer be rated while LLCC over land, 996 hPa and rising. At this point, we will no longer issue warnings for the system unless regeneration occurs. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 18/08 0345UTC
JMA -Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 6 hrs and is forecast to lose more intensity in the coming hours over land while drenching much of the region with torrential rains, and was located at 22.0N-104.6E, 91 nm (168 km) NNW of Hanoi, Viet Nam while slowing down WNW@20 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 18/08 0050UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has now weakened further a Tropical Storm and forecast to lose more intensity in the coming hours over land while drenching much of the region with torrential rains within days, and was located at 21.7N-105.1E, 58 nm (107 km) NNW of Hanoi, Viet Nam while accelerating W@30 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 2100UTC
JTWC – Category 1 Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK,” now a mere Tropical Storm has significantly lost steam for the last 6 hrs while over the Viet Namese territory due to land interaction as indicated by a decreasing central convection and weakening as it continues to track further inland and expected to dissipate within the next 24 hrs. With that said, this will be the Final warning for the system. Last position was 21.1N-105.2E, 5 nm (9 km) North of Hanoi, Viet Nam, 50 kt (93 km/hr) min, 65 kt (120 km/hr) max, 978 hPa and steady, accelerating West@17 kt (31 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. The area will be monitored if regeneration occurs. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 1550UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained its strength for the past 12 hrs and has now made landfall along the Cam Pha District in Northeastern Viet Namese coast after crossing through Beibu Gulf, and was located at 21.2N-107.2E, 76 nm (141 km) ENE of Hanoi, Viet Nam approaching Hanoi, Viet Nam within a few hours while accelerating W@30 km/hr, winds topped 111 km/hr (min), gusts up to 157 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 1500UTC
JTWC – Category 1 Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK” has maintained its intensity immersing on warmer SST off the Beibu Gulf, depicting a tightly-curved deep convective banding wrapping into a well-defined LLCC. The system was spotted near 21.3N-109.1E, 225 nm (417 km) East of Hanoi, Viet Nam or 73 nm (135 km) West-northwest of Zhanjiang, Southern China, 65kt (120 km/hr) min, 80 kt (148 km/hr) max, 978 hPa and steady, accelerating West-northwest@17 kt (31 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 15 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 1430UTC
Westernpacificweather - Category 1 Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK,” now making its presence felt along the Southern coasts of Southern China, and East of Hanoi, Viet Nam. WestPacWx Wxcaster Pat has a Tropical Vid Update on the system and the Wx outlook across the WestPac Basin.

Here are some of the most notable rainfall accumulations so far in the light of the ongoing rampage of the storm across Southern China and Northeastern Viet Nam:

Rainfall totals ending at 1200Z/1703*:

Dongfang, China-305.5 mm
Yaxian, China-226 mm
Danxian, China-178 mm
Zhanjiang, China-91 mm
Hanoi, China-91 mm
Beihai, China-84.1 mm
Yangjiang, China-74 mm
Qionghai, China-62 mm
Haikou-59 mm
Qinzhou-50 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulation. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 1245UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained its strength for the past 6 hrs approaching the Viet Namese coast after crossing through Zhanjiang, Southern China, and was located at 21.2N-107.8E, 90 nm (203 km) NNE of Hanoi, Viet Nam just of the Beibu Gulf eyeing for another landfall this time South of Vin Trung, Viet Namese coast, within a few hours while accelerating W@30 km/hr, winds topped 111 km/hr (min), gusts up to 157 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0945UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained its strength for the past 12 hrs now near Beihai, China after crossing through Zhanjiang, Southern China, and was located at 21.3N-108.8E, 90 nm (166 km) W of Zhanjiang, Southern China just off the Beibu Gulf eyeing for another landfall this time in Qinzhou coast, Southern China within a few hours while accelerating WNW@30 km/hr, winds topped 111 km/hr (min), gusts up to 157 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0900UTC
JTWC – Category 1 Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK” has lost some steam for the last 6 hrs after brushing over land and now threatens to crash onshore just off Beihai County still exhibiting a convective banding, tightly wrapping in from the South, have slightly deepened and tightened while losing the distinctive ragged, 25 nm (46 km) “Eye” feature earlier during landfall. The system was spotted near 21.3N-109.1E, 393 nm (212 km) East of Hanoi, Viet Nam or 25 nm (135 km) West-northwest of Zhanjiang, Southern China, 65kt (120 km/hr) min, 80 kt (148 km/hr) max, 974 hPa and steady, accelerating West-northwest@15 kt (30 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 15 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0645UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has weakened slightly as it approaches for another landfall near Beihai, China after crossing through Zhanjiang, Southern China, and was located at 21.3N-109.7E, 39 nm (73 km) WNW of Zhanjiang, Southern China just off the Beibu Gulf eyeing for another landfall near Beihai, China accelerating WNW@25 km/hr, winds topped 120 km/hr (min), gusts up to 148 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0600UTC
Westernpacificweather - Coastal areas in Leizhou and the rest of Guangdong Province are feeling the strong winds and torrential rains as Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK” made landfall noontime today.

You can access our developing story re the storm click here for a comprehensive backgrounder on the system and its devastating rampage in the Philippines for two (2) days along Northern Luzon.

We at Westernpacificweather.com will continue to provide you the latest Wx information and breaking news relative to the storm. Please stay safe out there and keep it here. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0340UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” maintained its intensity for the last 6 hrs as it approaches the Leizhou Peninsula and passing through Zhanjiang, Southern China, just North-northeast of Hainan Island, and was located at 20.9N-110.7E, 25 nm (46 km) SSE of Zhanjiang, Southern China, accelerating WNW@25 km/hr, winds topped 120 km/hr (min), gusts up to 176 km/hr (max), 970 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0300UTC
JTWC – Intensified Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK” has strengthened further as it now threatens to crash onshore just off Zhanjiang while with convective banding, mostly wrapping in from the South, have slightly deepened and tightened as the system developed a ragged, 25 nm (46 km) “Eye” feature. The system was spotted near 20.9N-110.7E, 393 nm (212 km) East of Hanoi, Viet Nam or 25 nm (46 km) South-southeast of Zhanjiang, Southern China, 70kt (130 km/hr) min, 85 kt (158 km/hr) max, 970 hPa and steady, accelerating West-northwest@16 kt (30 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 28 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0250UTC
Westernpacificweather - In the advance of Category 1 Typhoon 14W “KAI-TAK” hitting land in the Western Guangdong coast of Shenzen and Xuwen Counties, the local officials there have been preparing for the worst of the storm. Ferry services were already being cancelled between Shenzen and Macao and Hong Kong early Thursday, to include Zhuhai on Friday, according to a Chinese local newspaper, Shenzen Daily.

International flights were also being cancelled due to bad weather, these are scheduled flights to the Philippines and other key Southeast Asian cities. Domestic routes from Shenzen International to Hainan, Sanya, Haikou and Zhanjiang were also being held.

Railway services have also suspended their booking for their high-speed trains and bullet trains between Shenzen and Guangzhou.

Hong Kong Observatory issued local warnings for heavy rains and gale-force wind warnings for Typhoon 14W “KAI-TAK” affecting some departures and arrivals in Chek Lap Kok International in Hong Kong.

Typhoon 14W “KAITAK,” locally tagged in the Philippines as “HELEN” leaves eight (8) deaths and a couple more missing, spawned massive flooding across Northern Luzon and displacing thousands more. NDRRMC has yet to account all the missing and the dead while DSWD and LGUs extend whatever assistance they could provide to those gravely affected by the storm.

*with reports from Reuters, Shenzen Daily, NDRRMC and Westernpacificweather.com. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 17/08 0050UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has intensified further for the last 6 hrs as it barrels through the coast of Zhanjiang, Southern China, just Northeast of Hainan Island, and was located at 20.8N-110.3E, 56 nm (103 km) ESE of Zhanjiang, Southern China or 185 nm (343 km) SSW of Kowloon, Hong Kong, China, accelerating WNW@30 km/hr, winds topped 120 km/hr (min), gusts up to 176 km/hr (max), 970 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 16/08 0645UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has intensified further for the last 6 hrs as barrels through Southern China, just off the West Philippine Sea, and was located at 19.3N-115.7E, 200 nm (371 km) SSE of Kowloon, Hong Kong, China or 294 nm (545 km) WNW of Ilocos Norte, Philippines, accelerating W@20 km/hr, winds topped 111 km/hr (min), gusts up to 157 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 16/08 0630UTC
Westernpacificweather - Rainfall totals for the last 24-hour period:

24-hr Rainfall totals ending at 0000Z/1608*:

Baguio-192.0 mm
San Jose, Occidental Mindoro-81.6 mm
Vigan, Ilocos Sur-74 mm
Laoag, Ilocos Sur-69.1 mm
Coron, Palawan-57.4 mm
Subic Wx Stn-54.4 mm
Dagupan, Pangasinan-52.6 mm
Aparri, Cagayan-51.0 mm

24-hr Rainfall totals ending at 0600Z/1508*:
Tuguegarao, Cagayan-179 mm
Romblon-55 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulations. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 16/08 0600UTC
Westernpacificweather - Latest Wx-related incidents in the wake of the passage of Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK,” “HELEN” across Northern Luzon, the NDRRMC continues to monitor the number of affected areas of flooding, land subsidence and landslides, mostly drowning incidents have been the main cause of the deaths and casualties associated with the surging Southwest Monsoon a.k.a. “Habagat.”

Report of a missing fisherman in the person of Primitivo Lagarto, 57 yo of Bgy Telegrafo, Tolosa, Leyte for about 2 days now have been the focus of the Philippine authorities after the information was filed on 14 August 2012 before the Tropical Storm strengthened along the East Philippine Sea. SAR operations conducted by the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) and local government units (LGUs) in Leyte and neighboring towns of Palo have not yielded positive results so far.

Seven (7) deaths associated with the storm have been also taken into account and several missing persons are yet to be identified as of posting. In total, since the deluge that has inundated much of Luzon for the period 07-10 August 2012, there had been a total of One hundred nine (109) officially tallied deaths as the result of the surging Southwest Monsoon in the country.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. The storm has past, time now to clean up the debris and rebuild the lives of millions that were affected by the wicked weather early this month. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 16/08 0340UTC
JMA -Strong Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the last 12 hrs as it departs for Southern China, just off the West Philippine Sea, and was located at 19.2N-116.4E, 224 nm (416 km) SSE of Kowloon, Hong Kong, China or 254 nm (472 km) WNW of Ilocos Norte, Philippines, accelerating W@20 km/hr, winds topped 111 km/hr (min), gusts up to 148 km/hr (max), 975 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 15/08 0300UTC
JTWC – Intensified Typhoon “14W/KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity and now heading towards the general direction of Southern Chinese coast while maintaining a Westward heading off the West Philippine Sea this morning while it does continue to exhibit a formative tightly curved banding deepening into its center. The system was spotted near 19.4N-116.5E, 210 nm (454 km) Southeast of Hong Kong, China or 252 nm (467 kms) West-northwest of Ilocos Norte, Philippines, 70kt (130 km/hr) min, 85 kt (158 km/hr) max, 970 hPa and steady, accelerating West@14 kt (26 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 25 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 15/08 0350UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the last 12 hrs while brushing Cagayan towns heading towards the West Philippine Sea, and was located at 18.3N-121.7E, 1 nm (2 km) SSW of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, accelerating WNW@20 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 990 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 15/08 0300UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 12 hrs while maintaining a Westward to Northwest jog towards Ilocos Norte-West Philippine Sea this afternoon while it does continue to exhibit a formative feeder bands from the North and West. The system was spotted near 18.4N-121.6E, 210 nm (389 km) North-northeast of Manila or 9 nm (16 kms) Southeast of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, 55kt (101 km/hr) min, 70 kt (130 km/hr) max, 982 hPa and steady, accelerating Northwest@13 kt (24 km/hr). Maximum wave height is at 21 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 2300UTC
Westernpacificweather - Latest Sat Fix on Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK,” “HELEN” was spotted near 18.2N-122.1E, 25 nm (46 km) East-southeast of Aparri, Cagayan, just over Cagua in Cagayan Province, winds reaching 101 km/hr with gusts near 130 km/hr, 989 hPa and steady as LLCC cannot be defined (over land mass) at the moment. Its heading remains West to West-northwest@15 km/hr accelerating towards Aparri, Cagayan within the next 4-6 hrs.

In the light of the foregoing facts, we at Westernpacificweather.com strive to bring you a better perspective by providing you a more comprehensive and accurate Wx data extrapolation from our fellow Wxcasters across the WestPac and the Atlantic Basin.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 2300UTC
Westernpacificweather - Conflicting reports coming from PAGASA-DOST saying that Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK,” “HELEN” has made landfall over Palanan, Isabela Province at 17.0N-122.6E at 1700Z (0100AM-PHL) on its twitter account issued today (15 August 2012).

In the light of the foregoing facts, we at Westernpacificweather.com strive to bring you a better perspective by providing you a more comprehensive and accurate Wx data extrapolation from our fellow Wxcasters across the WestPac and the Atlantic Basin.

Here’s our fellow Wxcaster Clark Eligue of Manila Typhoon Center (MTC) have to say on his report:

TS HELEN (KAI-TAK) | INTERMEDIATE UPDATE #6 >… at 0600 am today, HELEN (KAI-TAK) was last located at 17.5°N 122.6°E | 95 km East-Southeast of Tuguegarao, Cagayan or 43 km East of Debor Beach at the coast of Cagayan | Maximum winds of 90kph with gusts of 105 kph…| Moving west at 15kph.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 2145UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the last 12 hrs while brushing the coast off Casiguran Sound over the East Philippine Sea, and defying most forecast concensus, the system now has resumed its Westwards heading and eyeing for a landfall scenario within the next few hours well into the morning hours, and was located at 17.6N-123.1E, 90 nm (167 km) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, heading W slowly@15 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 2100UTC
Westernpacificweather - Rainfall totals for the last hour via [email protected] (0445.10AM-PHL):

Benguet, Irisan, Baguio City-33.274 mm
Zamboanga del Sur, Kumaralang-26.35 mm
Abra, Bangued-24.47 mm
Iloilo, San Miguel-17.526 mm
Abra, Lagangilang-14.732 mm
Romblon, Odiongan-12.91 mm
Benguet, La Trinidad-9.398 mm
Occidental Mindoro, Pstc Occidental Mindoro-9.938 mm
Albay, Libon-8.32 mm
Iloilo City, Jaro-7.77 mm

24-hr Rainfall totals ending at 1800Z/1408*:

Vigan, Ilocos Sur-215 mm
Tuguegarao, Cagayan-126 mm
Baguio-102.1 mm
Aparri, Cagayan-50 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulations

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 2100UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” has intensified a bit for the past 6 hrs while maintaining a Westward jog towards Isabela-Cagayan Provinces, while its cooling cloud tops continue to flare up, giving much Equatorward outflow channel into the developing LLCC along the Southwestern periphery under the steering influence of the STR. Shearing conditions remain moderate while nearing landfall within the next few hours before daylight. The system was spotted near 17.4N-122.6E, 190 nm (352 km) Northeast of Manila or 74 nm (138 kms) Southeast of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, 55kt (101 km/hr) min, 70 kt (130 km/hr) max, 982 hPa and falling, heading West@06 kt (11 km/hr) almost stationary at the moment. Maximum wave height is at 18 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1850UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the last 12 hrs while brushing the coast off Casiguran Sound over the East Philippine Sea, and defying most forecast concensus, the system now has resumed its Westwards heading and eyeing for a landfall scenario within the next few hours well into the morning hours, and was located at 17.5N-123.5E, 103 nm (191 km) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, heading W slowly@15 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1600UTC
Westernpacificweather - Rainfall totals for the last hour via Climatex.ph@1611Z (1211AM-PHL):

Cagayan, Tuguegarao City-12.446 mm
Isabela, Santiago City-5.334 mm
Lanao del Norte, Kapatagan-6.35 mm
Zambales, Iba-4.1 mm

24-hr Rainfall totals ending at 1200Z/1408*:

Vigan, Ilocos Sur-131 mm
Baguio-102.1 mm
Tuguegarao, Cagayan-73 mm

24-hr Rainfall totals ending at 0600Z/1408*:

Subic Bay Wx Stn-146.1 mm
Iba, Zambales-180.1 mm
Tanay, Rizal-50.1 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulations

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1545UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the last 20 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and defying the previous track, the system now veers Westwards and eyeing for a landfall scenario within the next few hours into the morning hours, and was located at 17.7N-123.5E, 178 nm (329 km) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, heading W slowly@15 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1500UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” has strengthened a bit for the past 6 hrs while maintaining a Westward jog towards Isabela-Cagayan Provinces, shearing conditions remain moderate, CDO reaching 240 nm (444 km) has been slowly breaking up as it nears landfall. The system was spotted near 17.4N-123.1E, 220 nm (407 km) Northeast of Manila or 97 nm (179 kms) Southeast of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, 50kt (93 km/hr) min, 65 kt (120 km/hr) max, 985 hPa and falling, heading West@10 kt (18 km/hr). Maximum wave height is at 16 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1400UTC
Westernpacificweather - Latest Microwave Imagery of Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK,” tagged locally as “HELEN” have been quite definitive that the forecast models from Met Agencies across the WestPac have been in significant disagreement with that of the current trajectory of the system maintains a Westward heading eyeing for landfall near Casiguran Bay in Aurora, Isabela and Cagayan Provinces in Northeastern Luzon within the next 6 hrs or less. The recent large CDO have been breaking up due to land interaction of its Western edge along the Sierra Madre Mountain Ranges which bounds Isabela Province with the rest of Eastern Luzon.

Meteorologist Robert Speta has this WestPacWx Tropical Vid Update:

Dangerous Wx conditions are now upon the Eastern coast of Isabela and Cagayan as of this bulletin.

Please stay tuned as more Wx data are being analyzed by our diligent Wx casters from across the WestPac and the USA. Keep it here at Westernpacificweather.com-your Wx news source in WestPac! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 1255UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has been struggling to maintain intensity for the last 18 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 17.7N-123.9E, 178 nm (329 km) NE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading W slowly@15 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 0945UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has been struggling to maintain intensity for the last 18 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 17.6N-126.5E, 315 nm (388 km) NE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading WNW slowly@15 km/hr, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 0930UTC
Westernpacificweather - Latest Update on Tropical Storm Kai-Tak including the 5pm Warning Signals from PAGASA: click HERE #WxCasterPAT

 

Update 14/08 0900UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” has maintained its intensity for the past 18 hrs while shearing conditions remain moderate, PBO yields a rather large CDO reaching 240 nm (444 km). The system was spotted near 17.7N-125.3E, 280 nm (518 km) Northeast of Manila or 370 nm (685 kms) Northeast of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, 45kt (83 km/hr) min, 55 kt (102 km/hr) max, 989 hPa and falling, accelerating West@12 kt (22 km/hr) for the last 12 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 12 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 0500UTC
Westernpacificweather - Rainfall totals for the last hour via [email protected] (1245.09PM-PHL):

Zambales, Iba-33.94 mm
Samar, Calbayog City-7.366 mm
Quezon, Infanta-6.0 mm
Pangasinan, Sta. Maria-4.826 mm
Maguindanao, Parang-2.794 mm
Ilocos Sur, Vigan City-10.16 mm
Ilocos Sur, Sta. Maria-4.94 mm
Ilocos Norte, Batac City-14.478 mm
Guimaras, Nueva Valencia-5.79 mm
Biliran, Naval-12.954 mm
Benguet, La Trinidad-3.556 mm
Benguet, Irisan, Baguio City-12.192 mm
Bataan, Mariveles-14.55 mm
Bataan, Brgy Dangcol, Balanga-11.684 mm
Bataan, Brgy Cataning, Balanga-12.954 mm

ending at 0000Z/1408*:
Subic Bay Wx Stn-114.6 mm
Iba-88.8 mm

*WMO rated rainfall accumulations

Reports of evacuations along the perilous areas along the Western seaboards of Luzon has commenced in the advance of sustained torrential downpours for the last 24 hrs. The President of the Republic of the Philippines have been ordering the DPWH to fast track the removal of some 195,000 families along the Manila estuaries and waterways to decongest the already heavily silted and seemingly impossible sea of illegally dumped solid wastes along water systems.

NDRRMC have been urging the LGUs to act promptly on forced evacuation before the storm hits land tomorrow according to PAGASA-DOST especially areas with hoisted PSWS Nos 2 and 1. Winds have been picking up quite steadily since last night here in Iloilo City too.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 0345UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 12 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 17.6N-126.5E, 315 nm (533 km) ENE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading WNW slowly (almost stationary), winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 14/08 0300UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” has maintained its intensity for the past 12 hrs while shearing conditions remain moderate, PBO yields a partly exposed center its central convection remains poorly organized and warming cloud tops indicative of weak convection as it veers closer to Eastern coast of Luzon. The system was spotted near 17.7N-125.3E, 305 nm (565 km) Northeast of Manila or 303 nm (451 kms) Northeast of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, 45kt (83 km/hr) min, 55 kt (102 km/hr) max, 989 hPa and falling, heading West@11 kt (20 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 16 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 2100UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” intensifies further as it entered into another day while shearing conditions remain low, its central convection remains poorly organized as it veers closer to Eastern coast of Luzon. The system was spotted near 17.6N-126.5E, 400 nm (741 km) East-northeast of Manila or 303 nm (562 kms) East-northeast of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, 45kt (83 km/hr) min, 55 kt (102 km/hr) max, 989 hPa and falling, heading West-northwest@08 kt (15 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. Maximum wave height is at 16 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 2000UTC
Westernpacificweather - Rainfall totals for the last hour via Climatex.ph:

Batangas, Batangas City-5.588 mm
Batangas, Calatagan-7.66 mm
Guimaras, Buenavista-2.54 mm
Occidental Mindoro, Pstc Occidental Mindoro-14.478 mm

24-hr rainfall totals for Baguio City ending at 1800Z/1308:
Baguio City-102.1 mm*

*WMO rated rainfall via PAGASA.

Winds have been picking up here in Iloilo City for the last 6 hrs or so, and sporadic lightning and thunderstorm can be observed outside as the system gradually inches closer to land in Eastern Luzon. Automated Rainfall Sensors via AWS indicate a series of rainfall signature along the Northern edge of Iloilo and Guimaras Island at the moment.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issued by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 1845UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 6 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 17.0N-126.9E, 315 nm (583 km) ENE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading WNW slowly (quasi-stationary) for the past 12 hrs, winds topped 74 km/hr (min), gusts up to 111 km/hr (max), 992 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 1600UTC
Westernpacificweather - We continue to monitor the potentially devastating surge of the Southwest Monsoon a.k.a “Habagat” along the Western sections of Palawan, Visayas and especially the inundated regions of Luzon wherein standing flood waters have been the major concern in Laguna and Bulacan. Some parts of Pampanga have been also devastated by the recent epic flooding, to include the suburbs of Manila wherein tons of destroyed household appliances, vehicles and the like are being cleared from roadways and river estuaries.

So far, for the last 24 hr period, there had been no torrential rainfall recorded except in Subic, where 60.9 mm of 24-hr total accumulation of rainfall has been observed.

Stay tuned for more updates as we bring you closer where the Wx action will be. For residents along low-lying areas, please bear in mind that your safety from harm is your primordial duty in consonance with the advisories being issue by PAGASA and the NDRRMC, to include the local government units in your areas. Stay safe, Philippines! #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 1545UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 6 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 16.7N-127.0E, 315 nm (587 km) ENE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading WNW slowly (quasi-stationary) for the past 12 hrs, winds topped 65 km/hr (min), gusts up to 93 km/hr (max), 994 hPa and steady. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 1500UTC
Westernpacificweather - Meteorologist Robert Speta posted his overnight video update.

 

Update 13/08 1500UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” slowly intensifies as it shifted to a West-southwesterly dive and inches ever closer to Eastern coast of Luzon, and was spotted near 16.6N-125.4E, 290 nm (537 km) East-northeast of Manila or 226 nm (418 kms) East-northeast of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, 40kt (65 km/hr) min, 50 kt (83 km/hr) max, 993 hPa and falling, heading West@11 kt (20 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. The system has been exhibiting a partially exposed LLCC with deep convection deepening along the Western periphery. Maximum wave height is at 13 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 1500UTC
PAGASA - 0900Z (0500PM-PHL), Bulleting No. FOUR/PAGASA hoisted its issuance of Public Storm Warning Signals 2 and 1 along the areas stipulated below:

PSWS No. 2:
Isabela, Cagayan

PSWS No. 1:

Quirino, Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga
Apayao, Babuyan, Calayan Grp. of Islands, Batanes Grp. of Islands

Tropical Storm “HELEN” was spotted near 16.2N-125.9E or 350 km East of Casiguran, Aurora with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph, heading West at 15 kph.

Forecast outlook:

Tuesday Evening
120 km East of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Wednesday Evening
160 km North of Laoag City or
170 km West Southwest of Basco, Batanes
Thursday Evening
430 km West Northwest of Basco, Batanes

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this tropical cyclone.

Tropical Storm “HELEN” is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the Western section.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15 – 35 mm per hour (heavy – torrential) within 400 km diameter of Tropical Storm.

Intermittent light to moderate rains (2.5 – 7.5 mm/hr) are now affecting Central and Southern Luzon becoming more frequent moderate to heavy rains (7.5 – 10.0 mm/hr) tonight over Camarines provinces, Quezon province, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, Mindoro, Bataan, Zambales and Metro Manila.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon and Visayas due to Tropical Storm “HELEN” and the Southwest Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.

 

Update 13/08 1245UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has maintained intensity for the past 3 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 16.6N-127.0E, 315 nm (583 km) ENE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading W slowly (almost stationary), winds topped 65 km/hr (min), gusts up to 93 km/hr (max), 994 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 0945UTC
JMA - Tropical Storm 14W “KAI-TAK” has gained more strength for the last 6 hrs over the East Philippine Sea, and was located at 16.5N-127.0E, 315 nm (583 km) ENE of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, heading W slowly, winds topped 65 km/hr (min), gusts up to 93 km/hr (max), 996 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 0925UTC
PAGASA - 0900Z (0500PM-PHL), Bulleting No. FOUR/PAGASA hoisted its first issuance of Public Storm Warning No. 1 along the areas stipulated below:

Quirino, Aurora, Isabela, Kalinga, Apayao, Cagayan, Babuyan, Calayan Grp. of Islands, Batanes Grp. of Islands

Tropical Storm “HELEN” was spotted near 16.5N-126.8E or 430 km East of Casiguran, Aurora with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph, heading West Northwest at 13 kph.

Forecast outlook:

Tueday Afternoon
210 km East of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Wednesday Afternoon
80 km South Southwest of Basco, Batanes
Thursday Afternoon
310 km Northwest of Basco, Batanes.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Tropical Storm “HELEN” is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon that will bring rains over Luzon and Visayas especially over the Western section.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15 – 35 mm per hour (heavy – torrential) within 400 km diameter of Tropical Storm.

Intermittent light to moderate rains (2.5 – 7.5 mm/hr) are now affecting Central and Southern Luzon becoming more frequent moderate to heavy rains (7.5 – 10.0 mm/hr) during the latter part of the day towards the evening over Camarines provinces, Quezon province, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, Mindoro, Bataan, Zambales and Metro Manila.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon and Visayas due to Tropical Storm “HELEN” and the Southwest Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

 

Update 13/08 0915UTC
JTWC – Tropical Storm “14W/KAI-TAK” slowly intensifies as it maintains a Westerly heading towards the Eastern coast of Luzon, and was spotted near 16.7N-126.3E, 345 nm (639 km) East-northeast of Manila or 277 nm (514 kms) East-northeast of Baler, Aurora, Philippines, 35kt (65 km/hr) min, 45 kt (83 km/hr) max, 996 hPa and falling, heading West@13 kt (24 km/hr) for the last 6 hrs. The system has been exhibiting a partially exposed LLCC with deep convection deepening along the Western periphery. Maximum wave height is at 13 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

 

Update 13/08 0900UTC
Westernpacificweather - JMA positions its track on a westerly direction, giving a higher chance for more rainfall to track over the Philippines. At this time in the next 48hrs up to 200mm is likely in some locations on the east and west coast, yet given the saturated grounds of the region expect flooding and the risk of landslides.

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1213.html

 

Update 13/08 0300UTC
Westernpacificweather - Helen has been upgraded into a Tropical Storm this morning… and is currently posing a threat to Northern Luzon up to Taiwan and Southeast China…. at 0800 am today, HELEN (KAI-TAK) was last located at 16.7°N 128.2°E | 615 km East-Southeast of Palanan, Isabela | Maximum winds of 40 kts or 70kph with gusts of 85 kph | Moved West at 8 kph over the last 6 hours… @ManilaTC #ClarkEligue

 

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